October 2026 Visa Bulletin EB Category Prediction: F4 Big Movement & Realistic Modelling

A detailed community-driven analysis on Reddit's r/greencard forum offers realistic modelling predictions for the October 2026 Visa Bulletin covering employment-based (EB) immigration categories. The post uses data-driven forecasting to estimate how priority dates may advance across EB-1, EB-2, and EB-3 categories for various countries of chargeability. For EB-3 applicants, predictions of this kind are particularly significant as they help individuals and their attorneys plan adjustment of status filings, medical exams, and other time-sensitive steps. Movement in EB categories can fluctuate based on USCIS visa usage rates, demand patterns, and the State Department's allocation of remaining annual quota numbers. Community modelling efforts like this are valuable because they synthesize historical bulletin trends, current cut-off dates, and known demand factors to produce forward-looking estimates. However, applicants should note that these are unofficial predictions and actual bulletin dates may differ when the State Department releases its official October bulletin. EB-3 applicants from high-demand countries such as India and China continue to face extended backlogs, making each month's bulletin movement a closely watched event. Those with priority dates near predicted cut-off dates should consult with an immigration attorney to prepare filing documents in advance.